Dr Tariq Rahman

The Rational Voter

 

            The educated classes assume that they are rational while the illiterate are not. While that may be true in some spheres, such as health practices, it is not necessarily true as far as voting is concerned. This does not mean that I praise the uneducated in all aspects of life. I definitely do not for they adhere to such male-dominating values as to approve of killing women for honour and suppressing personal freedom in the name of the extended family (the biradri). What I am saying is simply that in elections the uneducated do not vote irrationally; they do not waste their vote; they are, indeed, quite rational. This needs emphasis because the educated often accuse the illiterate of having no voting sense. It is this which I want to refute. Instead, I will argue that it is the educated class which is irresponsible in its voting behaviour and some sections of it vote less rationally than the illiterate poor of the country.

 First, the educated classes vote far less than others. They do not want to take the trouble to go out and stand in queues---in any case they are used to the privilege of not standing in queues anyway---and wait patiently to cast their vote. Moreover, going out to vote means rubbing shoulders with the ordinary people, the hoi polloi  (or the great unwashed as the British would call them), and this is below their dignity. Above all, they do not care which faces are paraded on the T.V screen. The most powerful sections of the ‘educated classes’---and ‘educated’ in Pakistan is a code word for powerful, affluent and urbanized---have a way of getting around the law of the land so it does not matter very much who makes the law for the time being. In any case, the ‘educated’ have always known that to survive they should know individuals, powerful individuals, without reference to which party they claim to represent. They also keep on excellent terms with the military and the bureaucracy---in that order---to keep prospering. Thus, for the most powerful members of the ‘educated’ classes, it is quite rational not to bother to vote at all.

            Secondly, there are far more naïve educated voters than uneducated ones. They do not belong to the very powerful, opportunistic, upper level. Instead, they come from the middle classes. Having never starved they are inclined to believe that the most important things in life are what the school teachers taught them in schools. Now what the schools teach are a lot of lies. They vote, therefore, for ideological reasons. They are precisely the kind of voters who love to vote in anybody who makes a lot of noise about Kashmir; threatens to go to war; promises to fill the country with nukes and also promises education and jobs for all. This is the kind of voter who is ready to lynch politicians for corruption and may vote, or at least aspires to vote, for an honest person who has the right kind of nationalistic fervour.

            Then comes the uneducated voter. This voter is from the rural areas or from the slums of the city. The voter has been denied all the good things of life by all powerful people throughout history. He has come to suspect all slogans and he really cannot afford to wax sentimental about national honour or Kashmir or Islamization. He is a Muslim, of course, but he does not understand the issue of Islamization or, for that matter, secularization either. What he does understand are basic issues: more money; health care; better roads; schools; jobs; electrification of houses and so on. Above all he is in dread of the police and wants himself, or members of his family, to be freed of the clutches of the policeman if they are caught. Whether they are innocent or otherwise matters little with him. With these realities in mind the illiterate voter does the only rational thing he can under the circumstances ---he gives his vote to the person who is powerful enough to obtain, by hook or by crook, these goods and services. This person has the ability to get people out of jail and to get them jobs. Now whether those people deserved to remain in jail and did not really deserve the jobs which were given to them is an issue which both the rational voter and the even more rational representative do not want to be bothered about. These are just the kind of issues which intellectuals with enough to eat and drink come up with.

            In the real world of the slums and villages of Pakistan life is too hard to leave any time for moral niceties. The system is such that it gives you nothing till you have power. Now your power is the vote. So you exchange your vote to get what you need which may be a social good such as a school or an individual good, such as a job for that idiot nephew of yours who does not even know how to cheat in an examination. After all there is no welfare state to feed idiot nephews so jobs are what they have to live on.

            This system of patronage has been noticed by many political analysts. Andrew R. Wilder, in his book The Pakistani voter (1999), tells us how widespread and significant it is in our politics. Interestingly, he points out how Nawaz Sharif’s media advisors reached the English-reading intelligentsia with messages on national issues such as ‘who broke up Pakistan for power, and who gave up power for Pakistan’. However, in the Urdu press they mentioned bread and butter issues as well.  But in the Urdu press too there was much talk of the ideology of Pakistan and other high-sounding phrases. In the door-to-door canvassing the politicians promised concrete  things: roads, jobs, better price for grain etc-etc. Dr. M. Waseem in his book on The 1993 Elections in Pakistan (1994) also tells us that, whereas Nawaz Sharif’s economic policy was considered his weak point, his workers convinced the voters that it was the strongest one. And, in fact, much of the business community’s support for Nawaz Sharif came because he gave government loans to them, gave them tax exemptions and privatized industries. The PPP’s support came from the fact that the prominent workers got jobs. Within Sindh, right form the time of Z.A. Bhutto, the party gratified the Sindhi nationalists by giving them psychological support, pride and also some influence through recruitment and other means.

            In short, because the state is otherwise uncaring and unjust, people go for patronage politics. They find it in their rational self-interest to elect these who can manipulate the system to benefit them and, in the process, also benefit themselves. This means that it is generally better to elect a wheeler-dealer than an honest man who does not know how to get things by hook or by crook. Corruption, in short, is built into the system.

            The people of Pakistan have actually always voted rationally. Earlier, in 1946, they had voted for the Muslim League precisely for these reasons. They thought Pakistan would be a dreamland of affluence and freedom. They would be rid of the Hindu moneylenders and their sons would not have to compete for jobs with Hindu youths. Of course they would also have religious freedom too---that too is a good worth aspiring too.

Then they were given the chance to vote in East Bengal and they voted the Muslim League out. In doing so they did not go for the rhetoric of the Muslims League which was all about nationalism and unity and Islam. Instead, they went for the reality that West Pakistanis were more powerful than them; the most powerful officers in East Bengal were West Pakistan; their money from jute export and fishing went largely to West Pakistan and so on. They, therefore, defeated the Muslim League in a bid to defeat West Pakistani domination.

            In the 1970 election the people of East Pakistan again voted for the same things as conditions had not changed for them. In West Pakistan, tired of poverty and oppression, the people voted for bread, clothing and shelter’.  They even dared vote against their feudal masters. They thought Bhutto would abolish the landlords who oppressed them and they would be well off.            Always, the common people have aspired for maximizing their power and, by dint of it, their pleasures. It is the propaganda befuddled educated classes which have voted for purely ideological reasons which may not have been rational at that point of time. It is not the fault of the uneducated if the system we have is such that they have to extract patronage in exchange for votes. It is not their fault if, being deprived of even necessities which are the right of all citizens, they are forced to vote for wheeler-dealers just to get their rights. The creation of such a system is the fault of the powerful ruling classes and not of the masses. The masses vote rationally but such is the irony of our politics that this means they are forced to vote for manipulators rather than leaders of vision.

 

Dr Tariq Rahman